The US based technology company Cisco, has released a report titled Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast for 2010 to 2015. This report predicts that worldwide mobile data traffic will increase 26 fold between the years 2010 and 2015. Due to the surge in usage of handheld Internet-enabled devices, which deliver video applications and services, by 2015 the mobile data traffic will reach 6.3 exabytes per month, which translates into an annual run rate of 75 exabytes. This is equivalent to 19 billion DVDs or 536 quadrillion SMS text messages.
India is on path to have highest growth in national mobile data traffic. Here the mobile data traffic is expected to grow with a CAGR of 158 percent (115-fold growth). By 2015, the traffic could be 338,911 terabytes, which is equivalent to more than 100 million DVDs each month, or 934 million text messages each second. When looked at in terms of traffic generated per average Internet user, the report presents an equally rosy picture. The average user will generate 7.7 gigabytes of Internet traffic per month in 2015, and that represents a quantum jump of almost 434 per cent from 1.4 gigabytes per month in 2010.
The report from Cisco also states that by 2015 more than 5.6 billion personal devices will be connected to mobile networks and there will also be 1.5 billion machine-to-machine nodes. This means that there could be virtually one mobile connection for every person in the world. By 2015, mobile video is forecast to represent 66% of all mobile data traffic this represents a 35-fold increase from 2010 to 2015, the highest growth rate of any mobile data application tracked in the Cisco VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast.
In the category of devices, it is the tablets that are responsible for highest growth in mobile traffic. Mobile traffic from tablets is expected to grow 205-fold from 2010 to 2015. Aggregate smartphone traffic in 2015 will be 47 times greater than it is today, with a CAGR of 116 percent. Another interesting fact to come to light in the Cisco report is that in 2010 global mobile data traffic grew 4.2 times as fast as global fixed broadband data traffic.
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